Last week was very difficult for the French clubs. Beaten by Sporting (2-1), PSG nevertheless remain in a good position ahead of the final matchday. Here is how Paris can qualify directly.
Paris are still in the top eight, which means direct qualification for the round of 16, notably thanks to an excellent goal difference. By contrast, Monaco (6-1 loss to Real) and Marseille (3-0 defeat against Liverpool) are almost with their backs to the wall and will have to win to keep hoping.
What PSG Needs to Qualify Directly
PSG will be directly qualified for the round of 16 if they beat Newcastle and at least four of the following nine teams fail to win: Real Madrid (against Benfica), Liverpool, Tottenham, Chelsea, Barcelona, Sporting CP, Manchester City, Atlético de Madrid and Atalanta.
If PSG draw with Newcastle, they will qualify provided Dortmund and Inter draw or Dortmund beat Inter by fewer than six goals, and at least five of the following teams do not win: Tottenham, Chelsea, Barcelona, Sporting CP, Manchester City, Atlético de Madrid, Atalanta and Juventus. If PSG draw and Inter beat Dortmund or Dortmund beat Inter by more than six goals, then at least six of those teams must fail to win.
In the event of a defeat against Newcastle, Paris will have to hope not to be overtaken by more than two of the teams behind them in the standings, with Newcastle necessarily moving ahead. In short, PSG still control their destiny but can no longer afford any mistakes, while Monaco and Marseille are clearly playing for their European survival.
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