Paris Saint-Germain is up against a monumental challenge against Liverpool—statistical projections for the return leg suggest their chances of qualification are now minimal.
Beaten 0-1 by Liverpool in the first leg of their Champions League Round of 16 clash, PSG has seen its hopes of advancing significantly decline. Despite dominating the match, the Parisians were wasteful in front of goal and will now need a remarkable performance at Anfield to turn things around.
Dominant Yet Lacking Precision
PSG took control of the game early, applying high pressing and creating multiple chances. Dembélé and Kvaratskhelia brought energy to the attack, but their efforts—along with those of Vitinha and Barcola—failed to break through. On the other end, Alisson Becker delivered a stellar performance, denying Paris at every turn.
In the second half, Luis Enrique’s men continued their attacking efforts but remained unable to unlock Liverpool’s defense. The Reds, although under pressure, remained patient and capitalized when it mattered most.
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A Decisive Late Blow
Liverpool, largely absent offensively throughout the match, struck at the perfect moment. In the 87th minute, Harvey Elliott scored the game’s only goal, crushing PSG’s hopes. The late strike puts the Parisians in a precarious position ahead of the return leg.
Before the match, Football Meets Data estimated PSG’s chances of advancing at 42%. That figure has now plummeted to just 16%. To keep their Champions League dream alive, Paris must achieve a stunning comeback at Anfield against one of Europe’s most resilient teams.
